The Planning Fallacy: Jon Elster thinks that “people underestimate the time it will take them to complete a given task, partly because they fail to take account of how long it has taken them to complete similar projects in the past and partly because they rely on smooth scenarios in which accidents or unforeseen problems never occur.”
by Michael Potter on Twos
- The Planning Fallacy: Jon Elster thinks that “people underestimate the time it will take them to complete a given task, partly because they fail to take account of how long it has taken them to complete similar projects in the past and partly because they rely on smooth scenarios in which accidents or unforeseen problems never occur.”